Pre-tourney Rankings
East Carolina
Conference USA
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#158
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#149
Pace72.6#66
Improvement+1.1#121

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#71
Improvement+2.7#62

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#268
Improvement-1.5#252
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2012 289   UNC Greensboro W 76-73 87%     1 - 0 -8.5 -1.1 -7.3
  Nov 20, 2012 259   Appalachian St. W 82-72 82%     2 - 0 +1.0 -2.1 +2.4
  Nov 26, 2012 191   @ Georgia St. W 62-53 44%     3 - 0 +11.0 -8.3 +19.9
  Dec 01, 2012 130   @ Charlotte L 64-76 31%     3 - 1 -6.4 -2.0 -4.7
  Dec 15, 2012 26   @ North Carolina L 87-93 8%     3 - 2 +9.8 +9.3 +1.3
  Dec 18, 2012 198   Gardner-Webb W 62-60 70%     4 - 2 -2.9 -9.3 +6.5
  Dec 22, 2012 78   @ Massachusetts L 81-88 20%     4 - 3 +2.3 +1.8 +1.4
  Dec 29, 2012 217   Norfolk St. W 74-63 74%     5 - 3 +4.7 +0.6 +4.0
  Jan 02, 2013 298   Campbell L 81-86 OT 88%     5 - 4 -17.2 -13.2 -3.0
  Jan 09, 2013 33   @ Memphis L 54-67 10%     5 - 5 0 - 1 +1.9 -7.0 +8.2
  Jan 12, 2013 134   Central Florida W 88-85 OT 56%     6 - 5 1 - 1 +2.0 +3.6 -2.0
  Jan 16, 2013 180   Houston W 89-78 67%     7 - 5 2 - 1 +7.0 +4.0 +2.4
  Jan 19, 2013 224   @ Marshall L 56-77 53%     7 - 6 2 - 2 -21.3 -22.3 +2.7
  Jan 23, 2013 167   @ UAB W 91-85 40%     8 - 6 3 - 2 +9.2 +9.8 -1.3
  Jan 26, 2013 110   UTEP L 67-68 49%     8 - 7 3 - 3 -0.3 +4.1 -4.5
  Jan 30, 2013 33   Memphis L 68-75 23%     8 - 8 3 - 4 +1.4 -2.6 +4.3
  Feb 02, 2013 321   @ Rice W 79-63 78%     9 - 8 4 - 4 +8.4 -1.1 +9.1
  Feb 09, 2013 134   @ Central Florida L 73-83 32%     9 - 9 4 - 5 -4.5 +0.7 -5.1
  Feb 13, 2013 167   UAB W 74-61 64%     10 - 9 5 - 5 +9.7 +1.8 +8.1
  Feb 16, 2013 59   Southern Miss L 82-86 OT 33%     10 - 10 5 - 6 +1.0 +5.3 -4.0
  Feb 20, 2013 175   @ Tulsa W 72-63 42%     11 - 10 6 - 6 +11.7 +1.5 +10.1
  Feb 23, 2013 181   @ SMU W 72-69 43%     12 - 10 7 - 6 +5.3 -1.7 +6.9
  Mar 02, 2013 59   @ Southern Miss L 69-88 15%     12 - 11 7 - 7 -7.5 +1.2 -8.9
  Mar 06, 2013 156   Tulane W 88-85 62%     13 - 11 8 - 7 +0.4 +10.6 -10.2
  Mar 09, 2013 224   Marshall W 86-79 76%     14 - 11 9 - 7 +0.2 +8.8 -8.6
  Mar 14, 2013 175   Tulsa L 72-79 54%     14 - 12 -7.5 +2.4 -10.1
Projected Record 14.0 - 12.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%